Ecological Monographs

Theory predicts that demographic performance should peak at the core of species ranges and decrease toward their limits. Yet, empirical correlations between population growth rate and species distribution remain weak for most tree species. Part of the problem may arise from the difficulty of integrating multiple demographic processes across the complex life cycle of a forest, and from the significant variability among individuals and locations. It remains unclear if the mismatch between performance and distribution arises from modelling limitations or if climate is simply a poor predictor of species performance across distributions. Here, rather than asking whether demographic performance correlates with species distributions, we ask how climate and competition jointly shape population growth rate for 31 tree species across eastern North America. By combining flexible nonlinear hierarchical models for growth, survival, and recruitment with explicit uncertainty propagation, we use Integral Projection Models to address key gaps in previous studies. Perturbation analyses revealed that population growth rate was consistently more sensitive to mean annual temperature than to conspecific or heterospecific competition across all species. We further examined how sensitivities to climate and competition varied across species thermal ranges. The dominance of climate over competition increased toward both cold and hot range limits, while sensitivity to competition generally declined from cold to hot limits. Notably, these patterns emerged along the continental thermal gradient shared across species rather than within each species individual range, suggesting that range-edge demographic responses may arise as a community-level phenomenon. Across species, the largest source of variability remained the local plot conditions captured by random effects, likely reflecting differences in soil conditions, drainage, and disturbance history. Together, these results may provide a mechanistic pathway underlying the performance declines predicted by range-limit theories, and offer a basis for understanding how forest populations and communities may reorganize in response to ongoing climate change and shifting disturbance regimes.

O_LIPlants take up nutrients from the soil while investing in absorptive root surface or mycorrhizal partners. Root hairs - a major structure for nutrient uptake and cheap to build - increase the absorptive root surface. As such they are an important component of plant resource economics but largely neglected in root economic concepts so far. C_LIO_LIThis is mainly due to data scarcity, which we set out to overcome by measuring root-hair traits on 82 European grassland species in a greenhouse experiment. Using fluorescence and light microscopy, root-hair length and incidence was measured along with mycorrhizal colonization. C_LIO_LIWe found a phylogenetically conserved trade-off between plant investment into root hairs and mycorrhiza. A similar trade-off between root-hair incidence and mycorrhiza occurred at the intraspecific level, while patterns were heterogeneous among species. Plant species with high colonization rates showed the highest variability in root-hair incidence. C_LIO_LIWe conclude that plants vary along a gradient ranging from investment into root hairs as part of a "do-it-yourself" strategy to collaboration with mycorrhizal fungi while showing intraspecific variation in root-hair incidence. These findings demonstrate that root hairs play a fundamental role in fine-root trait variation and need to be considered when studying belowground plant economic strategies. C_LI

Mark-recapture analyses on the delineation of natural populations between areas often assume random sampling, with a between/within (B/W) area resighting ratio that declines towards zero as the population components of two areas become more-and-more isolated from one another, with fewer-and-fewer individuals mixing between areas. I use an individual based population model split in two areas to simulate this result, analysing also for the potential effects of the space-time fidelity of the mark-recapture sampling in the areas. I find that small B/W resighting ratios--that traditionally is taken as evidence of population isolation--can easily be observed within a completely mixing population if a random sampling scheme is restricted in space and/or time. Random sampling within restricted areas and time windows is not sufficient to estimate mixing rates and population isolation between areas, unless the resighting rates are analysed by a method that accounts both for the space-time fidelity of the scientific sampling scheme and the space-time fidelity of the distributional behaviour of the individuals in the population.

Climate change drives shifts in species composition, but turnover in many communities lags behind the current pace of change. Anticipating the impact of the resulting community-climate disequilibria on ecosystem functioning is critical. Present-day communities may already be out of equilibrium with climate, providing an opportunity to estimate the effects of disequilibrium before they become more widespread. We analyzed plant community composition and function data from [~]60,000 rangeland monitoring sites across the western US to measure how community-climate disequilibrium contributes to spatial and temporal variation in net primary productivity (NPP) - a key ecosystem function. We found that communities were already substantially out of equilibrium with climate and accounting for this disequilibrium helped explain patterns of NPP. Communities farthest from equilibrium were less productive than those that were closely matched with climate. Our findings suggest that future increases in community-climate disequilibrium may further impair ecosystem functioning.

O_LIAgricultural intensification can support the expansion of introduced species which are highly adapted to human-modified landscapes, but the mechanisms by which this occurs are often unclear. C_LIO_LIHere we investigate the spatial ecology of a rapidly expanding introduced bumble bee (Bombus impatiens) and a native congener (B. mixtus) in agricultural landscapes of southwestern British Columbia, Canada. We used microsatellite genotyping and spatially explicit capture-recapture models to compare the foraging distance of the two species, and fitted hierarchical models to compare their abundance, behaviour (nest searching vs foraging), and lineage survival as a function of landscape composition and configuration. C_LIO_LIWe found that B. impatiens had a broader foraging range than B. mixtus, and that its colony/worker abundance were positively associated with the surrounding area of residential gardens, but decreased relative to B. mixtus abundance in response to increasing seminatural area. In contrast, B. mixtus colony abundance decreased in landscapes with a greater area of intensively managed berry crops. C_LIO_LIWe observed fewer B. impatiens queens per survey in landscapes with more low-disturbance landcover, and hypothesize space use of this species could be shaped by concentration on potential nesting habitat. Consistent with this observation, nest searching behaviour was more common for B. impatiens queens, while B. mixtus queens were primarily observed foraging, suggesting these two species derive different value from agricultural landscapes during colony establishment. C_LIO_LIFinally, we found that the rate of lineage re-capture between 2022 colonies and 2023 spring queens was nearly 10-fold higher for B. impatiens than for B. mixtus, indicating a greater capacity of the introduced species to complete its life cycle in agro-natural landscape mosaics. C_LIO_LIOur results suggest that differences in spatial ecology may contribute to the differential success of these two species in human-modified landscapes, and provide insight into the mechanisms by which land-use change shapes community composition. C_LI O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=184 HEIGHT=200 SRC="FIGDIR/small/723627v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (62K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1e72eacorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@a958a0org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1f970b6org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@156f522_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG Graphical abstract. Coloured diagrams of B. mixtus and B. impatiens are credited to Elaine Evans and the Xerces Society, with permission.

Ocean warming is altering abiotic environments and biotic interactions experienced by marine organisms, where sensitive early developmental windows occur in biologically complex seawater communities. The impact of these interactions on developmental processes and fitness in hosts is not well understood, but likely contingent on the establishment of a host-associated microbiome. Here, we hypothesize that temperature and microbial exposure during embryogenesis influence larval microbiome assembly and host morphology. Strongylocentrotus purpuratus embryos were raised in low microbial richness (LMR) or high microbial richness (HMR) seawater at ambient (14 {degrees}C) or elevated (18 {degrees}C) temperature, then collected at 2, 4, and 6 days post-fertilization (dpf) following multiple feedings. Higher microbial diversity was observed in larvae that developed in HMR seawater when compared to LMR. Differences in relative abundances of dominant microbial families between seawater and larvae suggest some degree of host selectivity in microbiome assembly. Temperature did not strongly alter microbiome composition, but both temperature and microbial condition led to differences in larval morphology by 6 dpf, potentially due to enrichment of microbes with chemoheterotrophic functions. By linking how temperature and microbial communities interact with host development, we contribute novel insights into how early-life environmental conditions impact holobiont formation and morphology. One sentence summaryEarly developmental temperature and microbial conditions shape larval microbiome establishment and morphology.

Coral reefs deliver vital services via a complex three-dimensional framework sustained by the balance between calcium carbonate production and erosion, or the net carbonate budget state. In many tropical western Atlantic reefs, ecological decline has reduced carbonate production, yielding near-neutral or negative budgets. Yet some reefs retain high coral cover and, theoretically, should also have high net positive budgets, yet often show modest carbonate accumulation. We used the remote reef of Cayo Arenas in the Campeche Bank, Gulf of Mexico, to test whether in reefs under suboptimal (variable) environmental conditions, high coral production is offset by robust bioeroder communities, producing neutral budgets. At 14 sites, we quantified carbonate producers and bioeroders to estimate gross production, bioerosion, and net budget states. Despite relatively high live coral cover, mean net carbonate budgets were approximately neutral. Crucially, this neutrality arose not from depressed biological activity (as in degraded reefs) but from an active equilibrium: vigorous carbonate production coupled with substantial bioerosion. These reefs, therefore, represent a contemporary, functional reef state in net stasis. Distinguishing active-neutral from impoverishment-neutral regimes is critical for predicting reef trajectories under environmental change and for targeting management, although near-stasis emerging from high carbonate turnover can appear functionally intact yet operate with limited buffering capacity against net carbonate loss.

Forests play a crucial role in mitigating climate change as primary terrestrial carbon sinks. While some studies suggest that global warming enhances forest productivity, a growing body of evidence highlights detrimental impact primarily driven by increased water stress. Yet the extent to which positive effects of climate change offset its negative impacts on tree species productivity remains unclear at large spatial extents. We assessed forest growth and mortality for the 21 most abundant tree species in Europe using National Forest Inventory data from more than 50,000 plots and 700,000 trees to disentangle the relative importance of climate and forest structure. Specifically, we examined how vapor pressure deficit (VPD) anomalies across species climatic edges and stand developmental stages affect forest growth and mortality occurrence and intensity (i.e. whether mortality occurred and the amount of basal area lost). Then, we aggregated the responses across species and separately for broad-leaved and needle-leaved species to assess whether forest growth and mortality differed between major functional groups. Although the importance of forest growth and mortality drivers varied markedly among species, climate had a stronger influence on mortality than on growth, particularly in needle-leaved species. Forest growth declined and mortality increased along VPD anomaly in most species and forests studied. Responses were most pronounced at arid species edges in early-stage broad-leaved forests and at wet edges in late-stage needle-leaved forests, where differences between functional groups were also highest. We evidence the need to parametrise species-specific models of forest growth and mortality across large spatial extents to better understand and predict effects of climate change on forest productivity. In addition, our results emphasize the importance of improving the understanding of forest mortality processes given the strong influence of climate on mortality, while also further studying vulnerable populations to climate change in arid edges of species distributions.

Winter warming is altering plant exposure to cold events, yet its effects on seasonal cold hardiness dynamics remain poorly understood. Here we quantified bud cold hardiness across four dormant seasons in a boreal peatland forest whole ecosystem warming experiment. Across a +0.00 to +9.00{degrees}C warming gradient, we semi-regularly measured cold hardiness in two overstory (Larix laricina and Picea mariana) and two understory species (Chamaedaphne calyculata and Rhododendron groenlandicum). Warming reduced cold hardiness in fall and spring by delaying acclimation and advancing deacclimation. However, risk was only increased in late winter and spring for three species. Warming reduced snow cover, increasing temperature variability and cold damage to understory shrubs. Together, our results show that cold damage risk depends on species traits, microclimate, and seasonal timing.

Microbial communities regulate carbon and nitrogen (N) cycling, yet their long-term responses to chronic global changes remain unclear. Using 12 years of grassland litter samples from the Loma Ridge Global Change Experiment in Irvine, California, we tested whether interactions between experimental drought and N deposition, and previously observed temporal variability are driven by background climatic conditions, including precipitation and temperature. Consistent with short-term studies, drought and N addition had relatively small effects on bacterial community composition compared to pronounced seasonal and interannual variability, with drought-by-year interactions explaining more variation than drought alone. Seasonal shifts were largely driven by short-term fluctuations in rainfall and temperature, whereas the substantial interannual variability in community composition was not captured by site-level climate metrics. Contrary to expectations, drought effects were influenced more by background temperature than precipitation, with the strongest effects observed in cooler years. Lastly, a bacterial taxons sensitivity to climate variability under ambient conditions did not predict its response to chronic drought. Together, our findings show that bacterial responses to drought are temporally dynamic and influenced by background temperature, underscoring the need for long-term longitudinal studies of soil microbial communities to better predict microbial responses under future global change. ImportanceMicrobial responses to global change, particularly drought and nitrogen addition, are often inferred from short-term studies (< 2 years), yet natural temporal variability may overshadow experimental effects. Using a 12-year dataset of grassland leaf litter communities, we show that temporal variability, both seasonal and interannual, exert a stronger influence on bacterial community composition than chronic drought or nitrogen deposition. These findings challenge assumptions about the magnitude of drought effects, particularly in naturally drought-affected ecosystem such as California grasslands and highlight the importance of long-term datasets for predicting microbial responses to climate change. By demonstrating that bacterial communities are strongly shaped by background climatic variability (baseline precipitation and temperature independent of imposed chronic treatments) and may be buffered to sustained drought, this work improves forecasts of ecosystem responses and informs the design of global change experiments and restoration strategies in future research studies.

Forest regeneration depends not only on how many seeds trees produce, but on the physiological quality of those seeds. Yet while climate-driven shifts in seed quantity and masting have received sustained attention, the parallel question of whether climate change degrades seed quality remains poorly resolved. Using a nationwide dataset of seed mass and viability in European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) collected between 1996 and 2024 (13,349 seed lots from 381 forest districts across Poland), with climate-quality analyses focused on 5,374 freshly harvested seed lots from 353 districts (2004-2023), we asked whether the two components of seed quality respond to different seasonal climatic windows, and whether harvest-year climate also shapes seed performance during long-term cold storage. Seed mass and seed viability were only weakly correlated (Spearmans {rho} = 0.15), acting as two independent dimensions of seed quality. Both revealed substantial temporal variation over the study period, but along distinct trajectories. Seed mass declined markedly between segmented-regression breakpoints in 2009 and 2019, more steeply at higher latitudes, coinciding spatially and temporally with the masting breakdown reported at the species northeastern range margin. Climatic associations were correspondingly divergent. Viability was positively associated with previous summer temperature, consistent with temperature-cued flower initiation, and negatively with spring temperature in the harvest year, plausibly reflecting thermal disruption of early embryogenesis. Seed mass showed no significant association with any seasonal climatic predictor, indicating control by slower or unmeasured processes. Storage duration progressively reduced viability, and this decline was further modulated by climate during seed development, with seeds developing under climatically suboptimal conditions losing viability faster. These results expose a hidden decoupling between seed quantity and seed quality under contemporary climate change, with direct consequences for forest regeneration and for ex situ conservation strategies that assume mast-year seeds will remain viable for decades.

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWO_LIAirborne imaging spectroscopy enables species-level classification in hyperdiverse tropical forests, but accuracy varies enormously among species. We asked which ecological and evolutionary attributes make a tropical tree species spectrally separable. C_LIO_LIUsing 3,256 field-verified crowns spanning 169 species in a hyperdiverse moist forest in French Guiana, we tested seven hypothesised determinants of classification accuracy at species, pairwise, and individual-crown scales using random forest, beta regression, elastic net, and binomial GLMM analyses. C_LIO_LIPhenological regularity - the strength and consistency of seasonal leaf-cycling - was the single strongest predictor of separability, emerging as the top-ranked variable across all analyses. The presence of congeneric species in the classification pool also reduced accuracy, while broader phylogenetic isolation contributed in multivariate models. At the crown level, crown area was the strongest predictor of correct classification, while liana infestation reduced odds of correct identification by 38%. Leaf chemical traits did not predict separability. C_LIO_LIIt is the consistency of a species ecological signal - its phenological rhythm, spatial sampling, and freedom from canopy contamination - rather than any single functional trait, that determines whether it can be reliably mapped from imaging spectroscopy. C_LI

Ectomycorrhizal (EcM) fungi are well-recognized symbionts impacting tree health and ecosystem functioning globally, yet understanding of their timing of proliferation in soils across seasons and years remains limited. We analyzed monthly patterns of EcM fungal abundance and community structure over two years in five temperate monodominant forest plots via quantitative PCR and Illumina sequencing. We found that the phenological dynamics of EcM fungi differed significantly by host tree leaf habit, fungal exploration type, fungal genus, and soil moisture. Overall, total EcM fungal abundances based on qPCR consistently peaked in autumn, and were more dynamic in evergreen than deciduous plots, supporting ideas of surplus carbon and asymmetric above-belowground dynamics. Longer-distance exploration types peaked earlier and were more stable than shorter-distance types, suggesting an independent and supportive role in releasing spring nutrients. About half of 20 focal taxa consistently peaked in either autumn, summer, or spring, while others were either host- and/or year-dependent. Our findings highlight that phenology is a key EcM fungal trait best explained by both host and fungal contributions, and future studies across biomes should consider seasonal shifts and sampling to elucidate phenological traits. Summary- The timing of belowground production and seasonal community dynamics remain poorly understood for ectomycorrhizal (EcM) fungi. - We collected soils monthly for two years from five temperate monodominant forest plots. - Fungal production peaked in autumn, shorter-distance and evergreen-associated spanned wider ranges, and half of focal fungal genera showed seasonal preference, emphasizing autumn surplus carbon and spring nutrients from long-distance types. - Future studies should consider seasonal shifts when sampling EcM fungal communities, and forest carbon models should include asymmetric above-belowground phenology. Translated Summary (Spanish)- La fenologia de la produccion y composicion de comunidades de hongos ectomicorrizicos (EcM) es poco estudiada. - Recolectamos suelos mensualmente por dos anos de cinco parcelas mono-dominantes templados. - Produccion maxima de hongos ocurrio en otono, hongos asociados con arboles siempreverdes y de exploracion de corta-distancia observaron rangos mas amplios, y la mitad de generos de hongos focales observaron preferencia estacional, enfatizando extra carbono en otono y nutrientes en primavera de tipos larga-distancia. - Estudios deben considerar cambios estacionales para el muestreo de hongos EcM, y modelos de carbono deben incluir fenologia asimetrica entre hojas y hongos. Plain language summaryEctomycorrhizal fungi are critical for the global carbon cycle, but their seasonal and inter-annual growth patterns remain unclear. We sample soil DNA monthly over two years across five different monodominant temperate forest stands. We find an overall belowground peak in autumn, with significantly later growth under wetter conditions, more dynamism with evergreen trees, and distinct spring growth by longer-distance fungi.

O_LIAnimal-mediated seed dispersal is key for the maintenance and functioning of tropical ecosystems. Specifically, in the Cerrado, the largest Neotropical savanna and a global biodiversity hotspot, nearly 60% of plant species rely on animals for dispersal. C_LIO_LIClimate change threatens these interactions by affecting species distributions, reshaping communities, and potentially decoupling plants from their dispersers. Anticipating how such disruptions may alter seed dispersal networks is particularly relevant for understanding the resilience of future tropical ecosystems. C_LIO_LIHere, we combined empirical data on 139 pairwise plant-frugivore interactions with species distribution forecasts to build probabilistic interaction matrices under present and future climate scenarios, which were then used to construct 6,221 local seed dispersal networks. Using ecological niche modelling, we tested how climate change influences species range size and centroid displacement. Then, we evaluated whether such changes translate into losses of pairwise plant-frugivore co-occurrence. Finally, we investigated how these changes in occurrence overlap may affect key structural properties of future local seed dispersal networks. C_LIO_LIWe forecast that by the 2070s, under a business-as-usual climate scenario, species are likely to contract their ranges by 56 {+/-} 33% and shift their distribution centroids by 88 {+/-} 57 km within the Cerrado, leading to a 27 {+/-} 29% loss in plant-frugivore co-occurrence mainly driven by reductions in plant species distributions. At the community level, these losses will lead to smaller and more nested networks and specialized, indicating a structural simplification of seed dispersal systems in the Cerrado. C_LIO_LISynthesis: By combining empirical data on animal-mediated seed dispersal with forecasts of species distributions, we found that climate change may simplify frugivore-plant interaction networks in the Cerrado by decreasing species ranges and co-occurrence of partners. Our study demonstrates that future climate may pose a threat not only to species distributions but also to ecological interactions, such as seed dispersal, that are key to enabling climate-tracking by plants. Thus, preventing the simplification of interaction networks will be essential to conserve biodiversity in species-rich regions. C_LI

How plants allocate carbon determines their productivity, responses to stress, and interactions with other organisms. A substantial amount of plant carbon is stored as non-structural carbohydrates (NSC), which sustain turgor via osmoregulation and fuel metabolism when carbon is limited. NSC also support root-colonizing mycorrhizal fungi, thus we hypothesized that under carbon-limiting conditions such as drought, a trade-off between feeding mycorrhizal fungi and maintaining turgor may arise. We reduced carbon allocation to ectomycorrhizal (EcM) networks by girdling Pinus ponderosa trees exposed to drought or ambient conditions and manipulated putative fungal connections between trees by trenching. We show that, in droughted plots, trees putatively connected to girdled trees by EcM networks had 33 % less needle NSC and >10% less turgor than those connected to ungirdled trees. Trees disconnected from the mycorrhizal network by trenching had increased NSC likely from the increased water availability with girdling, but these gains were offset in the presence of networks. Our results demonstrate that the increased carbon demand by EcM fungi in response to reduced carbon inputs from some trees can deplete NSC in neighboring trees via shared mycorrhizal networks. At least in the short term, allocation trade-offs under carbon-limiting conditions may expose networked trees to carbon deficits. This may increase vulnerability to drought, which may be particularly acute given shifts in climate.

Recurring patterns in biosphere dynamics are anchored in daily and seasonal oscillations in abiotic variables driven by Earths obliquity, rotation, and orbit. While circadian and annual biotic cycles are well studied, persistent supra- or subannual cycles in biotic systems are rarely documented globally. Here, we apply a machine learning approach to DNA metabarcoding time series and detect a biotic semi-annual cycle expressed across aquatic communities in temperate regions across taxonomic domains. We propose that this dynamic reflects a semi-annual mode in insolation and is suppressed under conditions of limited nutrients or sunlight. Our results suggest photoautotrophs are central for the aetiology of the biotic SAM, while demonstrating that it is a community-level phenomena not attributable to single species. The regularity of the biotic SAM suggests value for anticipating less predictable ecological events, including phytoplankton blooms. Overall, our results highlight Earth system-scale forcing of local dynamics and reinforce coupling patterns.

The mechanisms driving host-symbiont associations across space and time in contemporary mutualisms can give insight into the capacity for symbiotic organisms to respond to environmental change. High specificity between partners can increase cooperation and facilitate efficient holobiont selection, whereas low specificity could reduce host benefit, but facilitate adaptive associations across heterogeneous environments. The present study explores specificity in natural populations of a cnidarian-algal model, Exaiptasia diaphana, across a latitudinal gradient to understand the genetic and environmental effects driving host-symbiont associations, and their relation to heritable and/or environmental symbiont acquisition. We found that symbiotic associations were extremely flexible in E. diaphana, regardless of transmission mode. E. diaphana were capable of associating with diverse symbiont communities across genetically identical hosts seeded with vertically transmitted symbionts, as well as across highly connected host populations which acquire symbionts horizontally. Host population connectivity was complex and unrelated to geographic distance, whereas symbiont community composition tracked the thermal gradient, potentially due to context dependent biotic interactions. These results indicate that in a flexible symbiosis, symbiont communities are environmentally-determined, suggesting the future of this symbiosis will likely depend on climate adaptation of symbionts.

The fitness of immigrants and their descendants determines the effectiveness of gene flow. Genetic incompatibilities or outbreeding depression can limit the spread of novel alleles, while highly fit immigrant lineages can hasten introgression. These fitness effects of gene flow can also differ between generations as immigrant and resident haplotypes recombine. Understanding the genetic factors that shape immigrant fitness over multiple generations is increasingly important as habitat fragmentation threatens populations by reducing genetic variation and leading to increased levels of inbreeding. Few studies have measured the multigenerational fitness of immigrant lineages, especially within populations that had histories of high gene flow. We used 33 years of life history and pedigree data on a population of Florida scrub-jays (Aphelocoma coerulescens) with historically high immigration to quantify the fitness of immigrants and their descendants. We compared the fitness of immigrants and residents as well as their resulting descendants (F1, F2, etc.) to determine the composite genetic effects responsible for fitness differences. We found evidence of additive benefits of immigrant ancestry and heterosis driven by non-additive effects that persists for multiple generations. These results are promising for conservation efforts aiming to increase connectivity and illustrate the complex dynamics that determine the rates of introgression in natural populations.

Most plants require animal pollination to reproduce, prompting concern that pollinator declines immediately threaten plant populations. This concern is warranted if pollinator-mediated seed losses cause declines in plant population growth rates ({lambda}). However, demographic trade-offs might reduce the risk of population decline if seed loss improves performance elsewhere in the life cycle. We conducted a multi-year pollination manipulation on four species and measured how demographic vital rates and {lambda} responded. Seed responses did not predict net changes in {lambda}. Reduced pollination decreased seed production, but only caused a net decrease in {lambda} in one species; in the others, improved survival buffered {lambda}. Increased pollination boosted seed production, but at a cost to survival that caused a net reduction in {lambda} in three species. Our results highlight the importance of demographic trade-offs for understanding the impacts of pollinator declines on plant biodiversity and, more broadly, the population-level impacts of changing mutualisms.

Heat tolerance determines the vitality of tree species under climate change independently of drought tolerance, but has been much less studied than tree water relations. We studied species-specific differences and the capacity for seasonal heat acclimation in Central Europes naturally most important tree species, Fagus sylvatica, in comparison with two exotic tree species (Fagus orientalis, Pseudotsuga menziesii) that are considered for silvicultural climate change adaptation in managed forests. Foliage of mature trees was incubated at temperatures from 35-50 {degrees}C for up to 4 h to simulate daily heat maxima during heat waves. The maximum quantum yield (Fv/Fm) of photosystem II (PS II) of dark-adapted leaves was measured, because the PS II is particularly sensitive to heat and its functionality can decide on plant survival under heat. Fagus sylvatica was much more tolerant to heat than Pseudotsuga menziesii, but weakly (albeit significantly) less tolerant than Fagus orientalis. Within its limits, Pseudotsuga menziesii showed high seasonal heat acclimation with constantly increasing tolerance during the growing season. Fagus orientalis, but practically not Fagus sylvatica, also acclimated to heat. This makes Fagus orientalis slightly superior over Fagus sylvatica in terms of heat tolerance, whereas the suitability of Pseudotsuga menziesii for silvicultural climate change adaptation is questionable. Strong heat acclimation, but also overall low heat tolerance, in Pseudotsuga menziesii might be the result of evergreenness, which requires the generation of both cold and heat tolerance during the year.